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A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities
Pierre Simon, marquis de Laplace and Frederick Lincoln Emory
Imagine an intelligence that knew every force and position in the universe; for it, nothing would be uncertain. Laplace's essay introduces that famous thought and the calculus of probabilities behind it, covering the general principles, hope, and games of chance without heavy mathematics. Chance explained by the man who mapped the heavens. Calculate your expectations properly at last.
Every copy includes a printable PDF edition, a beautifully typeset book you can print, mark up in the margins, and keep on your shelf. Yours the moment you own it.
23 chapters
- 1A PHILOSOPHICAL ESSAY ON PROBABILITIES.
- 2TABLE OF CONTENTS.
- 3ERRATA.
- 4PART I. A PHILOSOPHICAL ESSAY ON PROBABILITIES.
- 5CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION.
- 6CHAPTER II. CONCERNING PROBABILITY.
- 7CHAPTER III. THE GENERAL PRINCIPLES OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES.
- 8CHAPTER IV. CONCERNING HOPE.
- 9CHAPTER V. CONCERNING THE ANALYTICAL METHODS OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES.
- 10PART II. APPLICATIONS OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES.
- 11CHAPTER VI. GAMES OF CHANCE.
- 12CHAPTER VII. CONCERNING THE UNKNOWN INEQUALITIES WHICH MAY EXIST AMONG CHANCES WHICH ARE SUPPOSED EQUAL.
- 13CHAPTER VIII. CONCERNING THE LAWS OF PROBABILITY WHICH RESULT FROM THE INDEFINITE MULTIPLICATION OF EVENTS.
- 14CHAPTER IX. THE APPLICATION OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES TO NATURAL PHILOSOPHY.
- 15CHAPTER X. APPLICATION OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES TO THE MORAL SCIENCES.
- 16CHAPTER XI. CONCERNING THE PROBABILITIES OF TESTIMONIES.
- 17CHAPTER XII. CONCERNING THE SELECTIONS AND THE DECISIONS OF ASSEMBLIES.
- 18CHAPTER XIII. CONCERNING THE PROBABILITY OF THE JUDGMENTS OF TRIBUNALS.
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